Effects of the Rural Master Plan (Hadi Plan) on Reducing the Vulnerability of Villagers to Natural Hazards (Earthquakes) Case Study: Shandiz District, Binalud Township (Torqabeh–Shandiz) | ||
| برنامه ریزی توسعه کالبدی | ||
| Volume 12, Issue 1, June 2025, Pages 87-104 PDF (1.91 M) | ||
| Document Type: Research Paper | ||
| DOI: 10.30473/psp.2025.72775.2745 | ||
| Authors | ||
| Hamdollah Sojasi Qeidari1; Majid Parishan* 2; Hamid Reza Ghasemi3; Ahmad Romiani4 | ||
| 1Associate Professor, Department of Geography, Ferdowsi University of Mashhad, Mashhad, Iran | ||
| 2Assistant Professor, Department of Geography, Payame Noor University, Tehran,Iiran | ||
| 3A.M in Geography and rural planning, Ferdowsi University of Mashhad, Mashhad, Iran | ||
| 4Ph.D in Geography and rural planning, Ferdowsi University of Mashhad, Mashhad, Iran | ||
| Abstract | ||
| The implementation of rural master plans (Hadi Plans) has generated various economic, social, and environmental impacts in rural areas. This study aims to examine the effects of the Hadi Plan on reducing the vulnerability of villagers in Shandiz District, Binalud Township, to natural hazards, specifically earthquakes. The research employed a descriptive–analytical method, with data collected through library research (theoretical studies) and fieldwork (questionnaires and observations). The statistical population consisted of five villages in Shandiz District that had implemented the Hadi Plan. Based on Cochran’s formula with a margin of error of 0.06, the sample size was determined as 97 households. Data were analyzed using one-sample t-test, multiple regression, and path analysis. The findings revealed that the Hadi Plan has contributed to reducing villagers’ vulnerability to earthquakes; however, the impacts varied across different indicators. The one-sample t-test indicated that for some indicators, the effect was below the desirable level (3), and the differences were statistically significant for all indicators. Regression analysis showed a coefficient of determination of 0.894, indicating that the independent variable explained 89% of the variance in the dependent variable. Path analysis demonstrated that the greatest direct and indirect impact of the Hadi Plan on reducing vulnerability was related to the indicator of “improvement of physical security” (0.424). Other influential factors included “strengthening of road networks” (0.414), “increase in investment” (0.268), “participation in space management” (0.232), “satisfaction with physical development” (0.198), “enhancement of perceived physical security” (0.195), and “reduction of migration” (0.061), ranked from second to seventh, respectively. | ||
| Keywords | ||
| Vulnerability; Hadi Plan; Natural Hazards (Earthquake); Villagers; Shandiz District | ||
| References | ||
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