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تاثیر فضای کسب و کار بر تابآوری اقتصادی بخش صنعت در استانهای ایران | ||
| فصلنامه علمی پژوهش های اقتصاد صنعتی | ||
| دوره 9، شماره 32، تیر 1404، صفحه 63-86 اصل مقاله (1.53 M) | ||
| نوع مقاله: کاربردی | ||
| شناسه دیجیتال (DOI): 10.30473/jier.2026.75271.1501 | ||
| نویسندگان | ||
| زهرا دهقان شبانی* ؛ روح اله شهنازی | ||
| دانشیار بخش اقتصاد، دانشکده اقتصاد، مدیریت و علوم اجتماعی، دانشگاه شیراز، شیراز، ایران. | ||
| چکیده | ||
| اقتصاد ملی و منطقهای به طور فزایندهای در معرض بحرانهای مختلف قرار گرفته که آسیبپذیری آن را افزایش داده است. صاحبنظران معتقدند بهبود تابآوری اقتصادی از طریق شناسایی و مدیریت عوامل کلیدی، راهکار اصلی کاهش این نوسانات و ارتقای ثبات است. هدف از پژوهش حاضر، بررسی تاثیر فضای کسب و کار بر تابآوری اقتصادی بخش صنعت در ۲۸ استان ایران طی دو دوره رکود و رونق (1391-1380) و (1392-1400) میباشد. بدین منظور از الگوی رگرسیون وزنی جغرافیایی (GWR) که ناهمسانی فضایی را در تاب اوری بخش صنعت استانها در نظر می گیرد، استفاده شده است. نتایج برآورد و تجزیه و تحلیل ضرایب نشان میدهد فضای کسب و کار در 100 درصد استانها در دوره 1380-1391 و در 93 درصد استانها در دوره 1392-1400 تاثیر مثبت و معنادار بر تاب اوری بخش صنعت داشته است. همچنین نتایج تاثیر مثبت سرمایه انسانی، سرمایه اجتماعی، زیرساخت حمل و نقل، مخارج دولت، تمرکز فعالیتهای صنعتی و تنوع فعالیتهای اقتصادی بر تابآوری را نشان میدهد. | ||
| کلیدواژهها | ||
| تابآوری اقتصادی؛ صنعت؛ رگرسیون وزنی جغرافیایی | ||
| عنوان مقاله [English] | ||
| The Impact of Doing Business on the Industrial Economic Resilience in Iran's Provinces | ||
| نویسندگان [English] | ||
| zahra dehghan shabani؛ rouhollah shahnazi | ||
| Associate Professor in Economics, Shiraz University, Shiraz, Iran. | ||
| چکیده [English] | ||
| In the current context, the national economy and its regional sectors are increasingly exposed to various economic and non-economic crises, leading to heightened vulnerability in economic structures. Economic experts and policymakers argue that the most effective strategy to mitigate the effects of these fluctuations and enhance economic stability is to improve resilience by identifying and managing key influencing factors. This issue has recently become a central focus of economic research and development planning. The present study aims to examine the impact of the business environment on the economic resilience of the industrial sector in 28 Iranian provinces during two periods of recession and boom (2001–2012 and 2013–2021). For this purpose, the Geographically Weighted Regression (GWR) model—which accounts for spatial heterogeneity in the industrial sector's resilience across provinces—was employed. The estimation results and coefficient analysis reveal that the business environment had a positive and significant impact on the resilience of the industrial sector in 100% of provinces during 2001–2012 and 93% of provinces during 2013–2021. Additionally, the findings highlight the positive effects of human capital, social capital, transportation infrastructure, government expenditures, the concentration of industrial activities and diversification of economic activities on resilience. | ||
| کلیدواژهها [English] | ||
| Economic resilience, Industry, Geographically Weighted Regression (GWR), Doing Business | ||
| مراجع | ||
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