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عوامل مؤثر بر ردپای اکولوژیکی ایران: نقش آموزش و سیاستهای انرژی پایدار | ||
| فصلنامه علمی آموزش محیط زیست و توسعه پایدار | ||
| دوره 14، شماره 3، خرداد 1405، صفحه 159-176 اصل مقاله (770.68 K) | ||
| نوع مقاله: مقاله پژوهشی | ||
| شناسه دیجیتال (DOI): 10.30473/ee.2025.75189.2869 | ||
| نویسندگان | ||
| ابراهیم علی خواه1؛ سید کمال صادقی* 2؛ داود بهبودی2؛ محسن پورعبادالهان کویچ2 | ||
| 1دانشجوی دکتری علوم اقتصادی- توسعه اقتصادی، پردیس بینالمللی ارس، دانشگاه تبریز، تبریز، ایران | ||
| 2استاد، گروه توسعه اقتصادی و برنامهریزی، دانشکده اقتصاد و مدیریت، دانشگاه تبریز، تبریز، ایران | ||
| چکیده | ||
| این پژوهش به بررسی عوامل اثرگذار بر ردپای اکولوژیکی ایران میپردازد، با تأکید ویژه بر نقش آموزش و سیاستهای انرژی پایدار. ردپای اکولوژیکی، بهعنوان شاخصی مهم برای سنجش فشار انسانی بر منابع طبیعی، در ایران بهدلیل وابستگی گسترده به سوختهای فسیلی و چالشهای زیستمحیطی نیازمند تحلیل دقیق است. هدف اصلی این مطالعه، بررسی تأثیر مصرف انرژیهای تجدیدپذیر، رشد اقتصادی، ارزش افزوده بخش صنعت و آموزش بر ردپای اکولوژیکی ایران طی سالهای ۱۳۴۰ تا ۱۴۰۲ با استفاده از مدل غیرخطی خودرگرسیونی با وقفههای توزیعی (NARDL) است. شکاف پژوهشی اصلی در مطالعات پیشین، کمتوجهی به نقش آموزش بهعنوان عاملی نرمافزاری در پایداری، در کنار متغیرهای اقتصادی و انرژی، و تمرکز بر روابط خطی بهجای بررسی اثرات غیرخطی و نامتقارن است. نوآوری این پژوهش، گنجاندن آموزش زیستمحیطی در مدل NARDL برای ایران است که برای اولین بار امکان تحلیل اثرات مثبت و منفی تکانهها را فراهم میکند. یافتهها نشان میدهد که مصرف انرژیهای تجدیدپذیر و رشد اقتصادی پایدار در کوتاهمدت ردپای اکولوژیکی را کاهش میدهند، اما تکانههای مثبت و منفی میتوانند اثرات متفاوتی داشته باشند. در بلندمدت، آموزش نقشی کاهنده و معنادار ایفا میکند. نتایج پیشنهاد میکند که سیاستگذاران با گسترش استفاده از انرژیهای پاک، وضع مالیات بر آلایندهها و تقویت آموزش زیستمحیطی، به کاهش ردپای اکولوژیکی و تحقق توسعه پایدار کمک کنند. این مطالعه بر اهمیت یکپارچگی ابعاد اقتصادی، اجتماعی و زیستمحیطی تأکید دارد. | ||
| کلیدواژهها | ||
| انرژیهای تجدیدپذیر؛ ردپای اکولوژیکی؛ روش غیرخطی خودرگرسیون با وقفههای توزیعی؛ آموزش زیستمحیطی | ||
| عنوان مقاله [English] | ||
| Determinants of Iran’s Ecological Footprint: The Role of Education and Sustainable Energy Policies | ||
| نویسندگان [English] | ||
| Ebrahim Alikhah1؛ Seyed Kamal Sadeghi2؛ Davood Behboudi2؛ Mohsen Pourebadolhan Covich2 | ||
| 1Ph.D. Candidate in Economics - Economic Development, Aras International Campus, University of Tabriz, Tabriz, Iran | ||
| 2Professor, Department of Economic Development and Planning, Faculty of Economics and Management, University of Tabriz, Tabriz, Iran | ||
| چکیده [English] | ||
| This study examines the factors influencing Iran's ecological footprint, with a special focus on the role of education and sustainable energy policies. The ecological footprint, as a critical indicator for assessing human pressure on natural resources, requires thorough analysis in Iran due to its heavy reliance on fossil fuels and environmental challenges. The primary objective of this study is to investigate the impact of renewable energy consumption, economic growth, industrial value-added, and education on Iran's ecological footprint from 1961 to 2023, using the Nonlinear Autoregressive Distributed Lag (NARDL) model. The main research gap in prior studies is the lack of attention to education as a soft factor in sustainability alongside economic and energy variables, as well as the emphasis on linear relationships instead of exploring nonlinear and asymmetric effects. The innovation of this study lies in incorporating environmental education into the NARDL model for Iran for the first time, enabling the analysis of positive and negative shocks. The findings indicate that renewable energy consumption and sustainable economic growth reduce the ecological footprint in the short term, though positive and negative shocks may yield varying effects. In the long term, education plays a significant and reducing role. The results suggest that policymakers should promote clean energy, impose taxes on polluters, and enhance environmental education to reduce the ecological footprint and achieve sustainable development. This study emphasizes the importance of integrating economic, social, and environmental dimensions. | ||
| کلیدواژهها [English] | ||
| Ecological Footprint, Nonlinear Autoregressive Distributed Lag (NARDL), Renewable Energy, Environmental Education | ||
| مراجع | ||
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