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تأثیر توسعه مالی و مالیسازی اقتصاد بر رقابتپذیری صنعتی در ایران شواهدی از رهیافت دادهها با تواتر مختلف | ||
| فصلنامه علمی پژوهش های اقتصاد صنعتی | ||
| دوره 9، شماره 33، پاییز و زمستان، مهر 1404، صفحه 75-98 اصل مقاله (1.22 M) | ||
| نوع مقاله: کاربردی | ||
| شناسه دیجیتال (DOI): 10.30473/jier.2026.76428.1524 | ||
| نویسندگان | ||
| فرشته محمدیان* 1؛ حمزه کریم خلف2؛ مسلم سعدی دخیل2؛ عمر علی کامل2 | ||
| 1استادیار، گروه اقتصاد، دانشکده ادبیات و علوم انسانی، دانشگاه ایلام، ایلام، ایران | ||
| 2دانشجوی کارشناسی ارشد اقتصاد، دانشکده ادبیات و علوم انسانی، دانشگاه ایلام، ایلام، ایران | ||
| چکیده | ||
| توسعه صنعتی و رقابتپذیری صنایع، نیازمند منابع مالی پایدار، دسترسی به سرمایه و نهادهای کارآمد است. در این تحقیق، علاوه بر محاسبه شاخص رقابتپذیری اقتصادی با استفاده از روش تحلیل مؤلفههای اصلی (PCA) و چهار شاخص «ارزش افزوده بخش تولید»، «صادرات کالاهای تولیدی»، «صادرات محصولات با فناوری متوسط و بالا» و «ارزش افزوده تولیدات صنعتی با فناوری متوسط و بالا»؛ به بررسی تأثیر توسعه مالی، مالیسازی و کیفیت نهادی بر رقابتپذیری صنعتی در ایران با استفاده از دادههای دوره ۱۹۹۰ تا ۲۰۲۱ و رهیافت دادهها با تواتر مختلف (MIDAS) با الگوی توزیع تأخیری آلمن (PDL) درجه دوم پرداخته شده است. نتایج نشان میدهد که توسعه مالی و کیفیت نهادی تأثیر مثبت بر ارتقای رقابتپذیری صنعتی دارند. در حالی که مالیسازی اقتصاد اثری دوگانه بر رقابتپذیری صنعتی میگذارد؛ بهطوری که در کوتاهمدت اثر مثبت و در بلندمدت اثر منفی دارد؛ به این معنا که مالیسازی بیش از حد و بدون نظارت کافی میتواند اثرات منفی بر ارزش افزوده و بهرهوری صنایع بر جای گذارد. همچنین نتایج نشان میدهد که سرمایهگذاری و پیچیدگی اقتصادی اثر مثبت بر رقابتپذیری صنعتی دارند؛ بنابراین ترکیب توسعه مالی هدفمند، مدیریت کارآمد فرآیند مالیسازی و بهبود کیفیت نهادی میتواند بهعنوان راهبردی مؤثر در جهت تقویت رقابتپذیری و دستیابی به توسعه صنعتی پایدار در ایران عمل کند. | ||
| کلیدواژهها | ||
| توسعه مالی؛ مالیسازی؛ کیفیت نهادی؛ رقابتپذیری صنعتی؛ رهیافت دادههای ترکیبی با تواتر متفاوت | ||
| عنوان مقاله [English] | ||
| The Impact of Financial Development and Financialization of the Economy on Industrial Competitiveness in Iran: Evidence from the Mixed Data Sampling Approach | ||
| نویسندگان [English] | ||
| Fereshteh Mohamadian1؛ Hamzah Kareem Khalaf2؛ Muslim Saadi Dakheel2؛ Omar Ali Kamal2 | ||
| 1Assistant Professor, Department of Economics, Faculty of Literature and Humanities, Ilam University , ilam, Iran | ||
| 2Master's student in Economics, Faculty of Literature and Humanities, Ilam University, Ilam, Iran | ||
| چکیده [English] | ||
| Industrial development and the competitiveness of industries require sustainable financial resources, access to capital, and efficient institutions. In this study, in addition to calculating the Economic Competitiveness Index using the Principal Component Analysis (PCA) method and four indicators —manufacturing value added, manufactured exports, medium and high-tech exports, and medium and high-tech manufacturing value added— the impact of financial development, financialization, and institutional quality on industrial competitiveness in Iran is examined using data from 1990 to 2021 and the Mixed Data Sampling (MIDAS) approach with a second-degree Polynomial Distributed Lag (PDL) model. The results show that financial development and institutional quality have a positive effect on improving industrial competitiveness, while financialization of the economy exerts a dual effect — positive in the short term and negative in the long term. This means that excessive and poorly regulated financialization can have adverse impacts on the value added and productivity of industries. Moreover, the results indicate that investment and economic complexity positively influence industrial competitiveness. Therefore, the combination of targeted financial development, effective management of the financialization process, and improvement of institutional quality can serve as an effective strategy to enhance competitiveness and achieve sustainable industrial development in Iran. | ||
| کلیدواژهها [English] | ||
| Financial Development, Financialization, Institutional Quality, Industrial Competitiveness, Mixed Data Sampling Approach | ||
| مراجع | ||
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