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بررسی اثر تحریم بر تجارت ایران و شرکای عمده تجاری در صنعت ورزشی: رهیافت حداقل مربعات کاملا اصلاح شده | ||
| فصلنامه علمی پژوهش‌های کاربردی در مدیریت ورزشی | ||
| مقاله 2، دوره 7، شماره 1 - شماره پیاپی 25، 1397، صفحه 23-32 اصل مقاله (299.69 K) | ||
| نوع مقاله: مقاله پژوهشی | ||
| نویسندگان | ||
| محمدرسول خدادادی* 1؛ مریم فریدفتحی2؛ سارا معصوم زاده3 | ||
| 1استادیار مدیریت ورزشی دانشگاه تبریز. | ||
| 2کارشناسی ارشد مدیریت ورزشی، دانشکده تربیت بدنی و علوم ورزشی، دانشگاه تبریز | ||
| 3کارشناسی ارشد علوم اقتصادی، دانشکده اقتصاد، مدیریت و بازرگانی، دانشگاه تبریز | ||
| چکیده | ||
| تجارت ابزاری مهم برای کشورها به شمار می‌رود تا از این طریق درآمدهای ارزی کسب کنند. هدف اصلی این مطالعه اثر تحریم‌های اقتصادی بر تجارت دو جانبه ایران با شرکای عمده تجاری در صنعت ورزش و پیش‌بینی وضعیت اقتصاد در دوران پساتحریم می‌باشد. به منظور انجام بررسی از روش FM-OLS استفاده شده است. کشورهادر دو گروه انتخاب شده است؛ برای گروه اول؛ چین، ژاپن و فرانسه بوده و گروه دوم؛ روسیه، قزاقزستان و قرقزستان. دادههای تحقیق بر اساس اطلاعات بازه زمانی از سال 1371 تا 1391 بوده و منابع، گمرک جمهوری اسلامی ایران و بانک جهانی می‌باشد. برای تحلیل داده‌ها از نرم‌افزار Eviews8 استفاده شد. نتایج مطالعه نشان می‌دهد که اثر جمعیت و تولید ناخالص داخلی به ترتیب در تمام کشورها منفی و مثبت بوده، نرخ ارز به‌غیر روسیه و قرقیزستان منفی بوده، تحریم‌های ضعیف دوره حاضر به غیر قزاقزستان و قرقیزستان منفی بوده، تحریم‌های قوی دوره فعلی در تمام کشورها مثبت بوده، تحریم های ضعیف دوره قبل به غیر از چین در بقیه کشورها منفی بوده و تحریم‌های قوی دوره قبل بر چین، قزاقزستان و قرقیزستان اثر منفی داشته است. در دوران پساتحریم، روند صعودی تجارت ایران با شرکا در صنعت ورزش پیش‌بینی می‌شود. | ||
| کلیدواژه‌ها | ||
| تحریم؛ شرکای تجاری؛ تراز تجاری؛ صنعت ورزش | ||
| عنوان مقاله [English] | ||
| Fully Modify Ordinary least Square Approach in Sanctions on Iran's Trade and Major Trading Partners in the Sports Industry | ||
| نویسندگان [English] | ||
| Mohammad Khodadadi1؛ | ||
| چکیده [English] | ||
| Trade is an important tool for countries to earn foreign exchange. The aim of this study was to evaluate effect of economic sanctions on Iran's trade with trading partners in the sports industry and predicted Iran's economic during post-sanctions. For this purpose, the method of FM-OLS is used. Countries are grouped in two; China, Japan and France were selected for the first group and Russia, Kazakhstan and Kyrgyzstan for the second group. The data is based on information from the 1992 to 2012 period and data sources were the Customs of Iran and World Bank. Eviews8 software was used for data analysis. The results show that the effect of population and GDP has been negative and positive for all countries, effect of exchange rate except Russia and Kyrgyzstan were negative, effect of the current weak sanctions has been negative except Kazakhstan and Kyrgyzstan, strong sanctions in all countries had a positive effect of current period, effect of weak sanctions the previous period excluding China was negative in other countries and strong sanctions the previous period have had a negative effect in China, Kazakhstan and Kyrgyzstan. It is expected that upward trend of trade with trading partners is forecast to post-sanctions in sports industry's balance. | ||
| کلیدواژه‌ها [English] | ||
| Sanctions, Trading partners, Trade Balance, Sport industry | ||
| مراجع | ||
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