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تدوین راهبردهای پایدارسازی معیشت کشاورزان کوچک مقیاس و آموزش مسیر راهبردهای معمول از گذرگاه پایداری و آسیب پذیری در شرایط خشکسالی | ||
فصلنامه علمی آموزش محیط زیست و توسعه پایدار | ||
مقاله 10، دوره 6، شماره 3، خرداد 1397، صفحه 137-156 اصل مقاله (2.52 M) | ||
نوع مقاله: مقاله پژوهشی | ||
نویسندگان | ||
مسلم سواری* 1؛ حسین شعبانعلی فمی2؛ هوشنگ ایروانی2؛ علی اسدی2 | ||
1دانشگاه علوم کشاورزی و منابع طبیعی خوزستان | ||
2گروه مدیریت و توسعه کشاورزی دانشگاه تهران | ||
چکیده | ||
این تحقیق با هدف کلی تدوین راهبردهای پایدارسازی معیشت کشاورزان کوچک مقیاس در شرایط خشکسالی انجام شد. بر پایه نتایج تحقیق مهمترین نقاط قوت و ضعف پایدارسازی معیشت در شرایط خشکسالی به ترتیب «وجود زیرساختهای مناسب، تنوعبخشی به تولید و گسترش فعالیتهای مکمل و غیر زراعی در استان» و «کاهش توان اقتصادی و تولیدی خانوارهای کشاورزی به دلیل خشکسالیهای مکرر» بود. همچنین عمدهترین نقاط فرصت و تهدیدها در این زمینه «توسعه و ترویج انواع بیمه خشکسالی در کشور (دام، مرتع و محصولات)» و «نبودن ساختار سازمانی برای رصد نمودن اثرات تغییرات اقلیمی بر معیشت روستاییان» میباشد. بعد از تعیین راهبردهای مناسب با استفاده از ماتریس کمی مدیریت (QSPM) میزان جذابیت هر کدام از راهبردها مشخص شد در این زمینه نتایج تحقیق نشان داد که مهمترین راهبردها به ترتیب «متنوع سازی منابع معیشتی و فعالیتهای غیر زراعی همراه با گسترش کشتهای گلخانهای با استفاده از زیرساختهای مناسب در استان» و «تدوین طرحهای مناسب ظرفیتسازی جوامع کشاورزی در مقابله با مخاطرات با تشکیل خوشههای دانش روستایی و توسعه زیرساختهای موردنیاز جهت حفظ معیشت» میباشد. همچنین نتایج نشان داد که وضعیت استقرارپذیری فضای استراتژیک سازمان جهاد کشاورزی به ترتیب، ناحیه تغییر جهت، عقبنشینی یا کاهشی، توسعه و تنوع میباشد. علاوه بر این، نتایج درخت تصمیم نشان داد که دو متغیر پایداری و آسیبپذیری قادرند با صحت پیشبینی 7/69 درصد راهبردهای کشاورزان را از هم تفکیک کند. | ||
کلیدواژهها | ||
تغییرات اقلیمی؛ خشکسالی؛ معیشت پایدار؛ تصمیمات کشاورزان؛ استان کردستان | ||
عنوان مقاله [English] | ||
Collecting the Strategies to Stabilize the Livelihood of Small-Scale Farmers and Training Common Strategies Considering Sustainability and Vulnerability in Drought Conditions | ||
نویسندگان [English] | ||
Moslem Savari1؛ Hosein Shabanali Fami2؛ Hooshang Iravani2؛ Ali Asadi2 | ||
1Khuzestan Agricultural Sciences and Natural Resources University | ||
2Department of Agricultural Management and Development, University of Tehran | ||
چکیده [English] | ||
This research conducted with the overall object of collecting the Strategies to Stabilize the Livelihood of Small-Scale Farmers in Drought Conditions in Kurdistan Province. Based on the results of the research, the most important strengths and weaknesses of stabilizing livelihood in drought conditions were "good infrastructure, diversification of production and development of complementary and non-farm activities in the province" and "reduction of economic and productive power of agricultural families due to repeated drought" in order. Also, the most paramount opportunities and threats in this field were "development and promotion of drought insurance in the country (cattle, pasture, and crops)" and"lack of organizational structure to monitor the effects of climate change on rural livelihoods." After determining appropriate strategies using quantitative matrix management (QSPM) the attractiveness of each of the strategies identified that the most important strategies were"diversification of sources of livelihood and non-farm activities associated with the greenhouse farming using the right infrastructure in the province" and"collecting the proper plans of capacity-creating in agricultural communities to cope with risks through clustering of rural knowledge and development of the infrastructure needed to maintain livelihood". According to results the establishment of strategic space in Agricultural Organization was the strategy shift, withdrawal or reduction, development, and diversification, in order. Moreover, decision tree analysis showed that two variables, stability, and vulnerability could make agricultural strategies separated from each other with a prediction accuracy of 69.7%. | ||
کلیدواژهها [English] | ||
Climate Change, Drought, Sustainable Livelihood, Farmers’ Choices, Kurdistan Province | ||
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