تعداد نشریات | 41 |
تعداد شمارهها | 1,112 |
تعداد مقالات | 9,508 |
تعداد مشاهده مقاله | 17,141,855 |
تعداد دریافت فایل اصل مقاله | 12,007,587 |
مؤلفههای اثرگذار بر ادراک کشاورزان از تغییرات اقلیمی(مطالعه موردی: استان زنجان) | ||
فصلنامه علمی آموزش محیط زیست و توسعه پایدار | ||
مقاله 1، دوره 10، شماره 1، آذر 1400، صفحه 9-24 اصل مقاله (884.98 K) | ||
نوع مقاله: مقاله پژوهشی | ||
شناسه دیجیتال (DOI): 10.30473/ee.2021.50117.2136 | ||
نویسندگان | ||
زهرا هوشمندان مقدم فرد1؛ علی شمس* 2؛ جعفر یعقوبی3؛ حسین عساکره4؛ جلال صبا5 | ||
1دانشجوی دکتری ترویج و آموزش کشاورزی، دانشگاه زنجان | ||
2دانشیار گروه ترویج، ارتباطات و توسعه روستایی، دانشگاه زنجان | ||
3دانشیار، گروه ترویج، ارتباطات و توسعه روستایی، دانشگاه زنجان | ||
4استاد، گروه جغرافیا، دانشگاه زنجان | ||
5استاد گروه مهندسی تولید و ژنتیک گیاهی، دانشگاه زنجان | ||
چکیده | ||
در سالهای اخیر تغییرات اقلیمی بر بخش کشاورزی در سطح دنیا و نیز ایران تأثیر گذاشته است. کشاورزان هر منطقهای درک متفاوتی از این تغییرات دارند و عوامل متعددی بر ادراک آنها تأثیرگذار میباشد. هدف این تحقیق توصیفی، سنجش ادراک کشاورزان و عوامل مؤثر بر ادراک آنها بوده است. جامعه آماری کلیه 83261 خانوار کشاورزی استان زنجان بودند. با استفاده از جدول نمونهگیری کرجسی و مورگان 393 کشاورز بهعنوان نمونه مشخص شد و از طریق روش نمونهگیری چندمرحلهای تصادفی انتخاب و مطالعه شدند. نتایج تحقیق نشان داد که ادراک 6/74 درصد کشاورزان از تغییرات اقلیمی در حد متوسط میباشد. ضریب همبستگی نشان داد که بین سطح تحصیلات، سرمایه اجتماعی، پیامدهای تغییرات اقلیمی، دوره آموزشی، مساحت زمین دیم، دسترسی به نهادهها، درآمد کشاورزی، سن، کیفیت خاک زراعی دیم، مساحت زمین آبی، منابع اطلاعاتی استفادهشده و تجربه کشاورزی با ادراک کشاورزان در خصوص تغییرات اقلیمی رابطه مثبت و معنیداری وجود داشت. رگرسیون خطی چندگانه نیز نشان داد که پیامدهای تغییرات اقلیمی، دوره آموزشی شرکت کرده، سرمایه اجتماعی، مساحت زمین دیم، درآمد کشاورزی و منابع اطلاعاتی استفادهشده 58 درصد از ادراک کشاورزان در خصوص تغییرات اقلیمی را تبیین میکنند. | ||
کلیدواژهها | ||
محیطزیست؛ تغییرات اقلیمی؛ ادراک کشاورزان؛ استان زنجان | ||
عنوان مقاله [English] | ||
Factors Affecting Farmers' Perceptions of Climate Change(Case Study: Zanjan Province) | ||
نویسندگان [English] | ||
Zahra Hooshmandan Moghaddam Fard1؛ Ali Shams2؛ Jafar Yaghoubi3؛ Hossein Asakereh4؛ Jalal Saba5 | ||
1Ph.D Student,, Agricultural Extension and Education, University of Zanjan, | ||
2Associate professor, Department of Agricultural Extension, Communication and Rural Development, University of Zanjan | ||
3Associate professor, Department of Agricultural Extension, Communication and Rural Development, University of Zanjan | ||
4Professor, Department of Geography, University of Zanjan, Iran | ||
5Professor, Department of Agronomy and Plant Breeding, University of Zanjan | ||
چکیده [English] | ||
In recent years, climate change has affected the agricultural sector worldwide as well as Iran. Farmers in each region have a different understanding of these changes, and many factors influence their perception. The purpose of this descriptive study is to evaluate farmers' perceptions the factors affecting their perceptions. The statistical population was all 83261 farmers’ households in Zanjan province. Using the Krejcie and Morgan sampling table, 393 farmers were identified and selected through randomized multistage sampling method. The results showed that 74.6% of the farmers had average climate change perception. Results of Correlation showed that there was a significant and positive relationship between farmers' perceptions of climate change and thier education level, social capital, climate change consequences, educational course, rainfed area, access to inputs, agricultural income, age, rainfed quality, irrigated area, information resources used and agricultural experience. Multiple regression showed that social capital, climate change consequences, educational course, dryland area, agricultural income, and information resource used accounted for 58 percent of farmers' perceptions of climate change. | ||
کلیدواژهها [English] | ||
Environment, Climate Change, Farmers' Perception, Zanjan Province | ||
مراجع | ||
Abid, M., Scheffran, J., Schneider, U. A., & Ashfaq, M. (2015). Farmers' perceptions of and adaptation strategies to climate change and their determinants: the case of Punjab province, Pakistan. Earth System Dynamics, 6(1), 225-243.
Ajzen, I. (1991). The theory of planned behaviour. Organizational Behaviour and Human Decision Processes, 50(2), 179-211.
Akanda, M. G. R., & Howlader, M. S. (2015). Coastal farmers’ perception of climate change effects on agriculture at Galachipa Upazila under Patuakhali District of Bangladesh. Global Journals of Science Frontier Research: Agriculture and Veterinary, 15(4), 30-39.
Akompab, D. A., Bi, P., Williams, S., Grant, J., Walker, I. A., & Augoustinos, M. (2012). Awareness of and attitudes towards heat waves within the context of climate change among a cohort of residents in Adelaide, Australia. International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health, 10(1), 1-17.
Ali, A., & Erenstein, O. (2017). Assessing farmer use of climate change adaptation practices and impacts on food security and poverty in Pakistan. Climate Risk Management, 16, 183-194.
Arbuckle, J. G., Morton, L. W., & Hobbs, J. (2013). Farmer beliefs and concerns about climate change and attitudes toward adaptation and mitigation: evidence from Iowa. Climatic Change, 118(3-4), 551-563.
Asrat, P., & Simane, B. (2018). Farmers’ Perception Of Climate Change And Adaptation Strategies In The Dabus Watershed, North-West Ethiopia. Ecological Processes, 7(1), 7.
Atchikpa.M. T., Adzawla, W., Yegbemey, R.N., Diallo, M and Aman, N.A. (2017). Determinants of farmers’ perception and adaptation to climate change: the case of maize and sorghum farmers in Benin and Nigeria. Conference Paper, 1-19.
Becker, A. H., Matson, P., Fischer, M., & Mastrandrea, M. D. (2015). Towards seaport resilience for climate change adaptation: Stakeholder perceptions of hurricane impacts in Gulfport (MS) and Providence (RI). Progress in Planning, 99, 1-49.
Belay, A., Recha, J. W., Woldeamanuel, T., & Morton, J. F. (2017). Smallholder farmers’ adaptation to climate change and determinants of their adaptation decisions in the central rift valley of Ethiopia. Agriculture & Food Security, 6(1), 24.
Bormann, H., Ahlhorn, F., & Klenke, T. (2012). Adaptation of water management to regional climate change in a coastal region–hydrological change vs. Community perception and strategies. Journal of Hydrology, 454, 64-75.
Brondizio, E. S., & Moran, E. F. (2008). Human dimensions of climate change: the vulnerability of small farmers in the amazon. Philosophical transactions of the royal society of London B: Biological Sciences, 363(1498), 1803-1809.
Broomell, S. B., Budescu, D. V., & Por, H. H. (2015). Personal experience with climate change predicts intentions to act. Global Environmental Change, 32, 67-73.
Chisanga, K., Mvula, A. B., & Taban, H. (2017). The role of indigenous knowledge in climate adaptation: experiences with farmer perceptions from climate change project in Sedumbwe Agricultural Camp of Southern Zambia. International Journal of Scientific and Research Publications, 7(9), 94-101.
Comoé, H., & Siegrist, M. (2015). Relevant drivers of farmers’ decision behavior regarding their adaptation to climate change: a case study of two regions in Côte D’ivoire. Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies for Global Change, 20(2), 179-199.
Dang, H. L., Li, E., Nuberg, I & Bruwer, J. (2014). Understanding farmers’ adaptation intention to climate change: a structural equation modeling study in the Mekong Delta, Vietnam. Environmental Science & Policy, 41(1), 11-22.
Dang, H. L., Li, E., Nuberg, I., & Bruwer, J. (2018). Vulnerability to climate change and the variations in factors affecting farmers’ adaptation: A multi-group structural equation modelling study. Climate and Development, 10(6), 509-519.
Danielsen, F., Burgess, N. D., & Balmford, A. (2005). Monitoring matters: examining the potential of locally-based approaches. Biodiversity and Conservation, 14(11), 2507-2542.
Deressa, T. T., Hassan, R. M., Ringler, C., Alemu, T., & Yesuf, M. (2009). Determinants of farmers’ choice of adaptation methods to climate change in the Nile Basin of Ethiopia. Global Environmental Change, 19(2), 248-255.
Diyawadana, D. M. N., Pathmarajah, S., & Gunawardena, E. R. N. (2016). Perception-driven coping strategies for climate change by smallholder farmers in Sri Lanka: A Case Study in Hakwatuna-Oya major irrigation scheme. Tropical Agricultural Research, 27(4), 336-349.
Ehiakpor, D. S., Danso-Abbeam, G., & Baah, J. E. (2016). Cocoa farmer’s perception on climate variability and its effects on adaptation strategies in the Suaman district of western region, Ghana. Cogent Food & Agriculture, 2(1), 1210557.
Evans, L., Milfont, T. L., & Lawrence, J. (2014). Considering local adaptation increases willingness to mitigate. Global Environmental Change, 25, 69-75.
Falaki, A. A., Akangbe, J. A., & Ayinde, O. E. (2013). Analysis of climate change and rural farmers’ perception in north central Nigeria. Journal of Human Ecology, 43(2), 133-140.
Gebrehiwot, T., & Van Der Veen, A. (2013). Farm level adaptation to climate change: the case of farmer’s in the Ethiopian Highlands. Environmental Management, 52(1), 29-44.
Habtemariam, L. T., Gandorfer, M., Kassa, G. A., & Heissenhuber, A. (2016). Factors influencing smallholder farmers’ climate change perceptions: a study from farmers in Ethiopia. Environmental Management, 58(2), 343-358.
Halsnæs, K., & Trærup, S. (2009). Development and climate change: a mainstreaming approach for assessing economic, social, and environmental impacts of adaptation measures. Environmental Management, 43(5), 765-778.
Howlader, M. S., Akanda, M. G. R., & Zaman, A. K. M. M. (2015). Adaptation towards climate change effects on coastal agriculture by the farmers of Patuakhali district of Bangladesh. International Journal of Agricultural Innovations and Research. Ijair, 3, 1560-1566
Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC). (2014). Climate change 2014–impacts, adaptation and vulnerability: regional aspects. Cambridge University Press.
Islam, M. M., Barnes, A., & Toma, L. (2013). An investigation into climate change scepticism among farmers. Journal of Environmental Psychology, 34, 137-150.
Jamshidi, A., Norizamanabadi,H. & Ebrahimi, M.S. (2018). Farmer’ s™ adaptation intention to climate change by using structural equation modeling: a case study of rural areas in Chardavol County, Ilam Province, Iran. Village and Development, 18(2), 65-88. [In Persian].
Jiri, O., Mtali-Chafadza, L., & Mafongoya, P. L. (2017). Influence of smallholder farmers’ perceptions on adaptation strategies to climate change and policy implications in Zimbabwe. Change and Adaptation in Socio-Ecological Systems, 3(1), 47-55.
Jones, L., & Boyd, E. (2011). Exploring social barriers to adaptation: insights from Western Nepal. Global Environmental Change, 21(4), 1262-1274.
Jones, P. G., & Thornton, P. K. (2003). The potential impacts of climate change on maize production in Africa and Latin America in 2055. Global Environmental Change, 13(1), 51-59.
Kamruzzaman, M. (2015). Farmers' perceptions on climate change: a step toward climate change adaptation in Sylhet Hilly Region. Universal Journal of Agricultural Research, 3(2), 53-58.
Khaledi, F., Zarafshani, K., Mirakzadeh, A., Sharafi, L. (2015). Factors influencing on farmers’ adaptive capacities to climate change (wheat farmers in Sarpole Zahab township, Kermanshah province). Journal of Rural Research, 6(3), 655-678. doi: 10.22059/jrur.2015.56064. [In Persian].
Komba, C., & Muchapondwa, E. (2012). Adaptation to Climate Change by Smallholder Farmers in Tanzania. Econ. Res. Southern Afr. (Ersa) Working Paper, 299(5).
Lamichhane, J., Ranabhat, D. B., Koirala, A., & Shrestha, D. (2016). Determinants of farmer’s adaptation to climate change. A case from Nawalparasi District of Nepal. Turkish Journal of Agriculture-Food Science and Technology, 4(6), 476-480.
Le Dang, H., Li, E., Nuberg, I., & Bruwer, J. (2014). Farmers’ perceived risks of climate change and influencing factors: a study in the Mekong Delta, Vietnam. Environmental Management, 54(2), 331-345.
Li, S., Juhász-Horváth, L., Harrison, P. A., Pintér, L., & Rounsevell, M. D. (2017). Relating farmer's perceptions of climate change risk to adaptation behaviour in Hungary. Journal of Environmental Management, 185, 21-30.
Lieske, D. J., Wade, T., & Roness, L. A. (2014). Climate change awareness and strategies for communicating the risk of coastal flooding: a Canadian maritime case example. Estuarine, Coastal and Shelf Science, 140, 83-94.
Luo, Q., Bellotti, W., Williams, M., & Wang, E. (2009). Adaptation to climate change of wheat growing in South Australia: analysis of management and breeding strategies. Agriculture, Ecosystems & Environment, 129(1), 261-267.
Maddison, D. (2007). the perception of and adaptation to climate change in Africa (Vol. 4308). World Bank Publications.
Makate, C., Makate, M., & Mango, N. (2017). Smallholder farmers’ perceptions on climate change and the use of sustainable agricultural practices in the Chinyanja Triangle, Southern Africa. Social Sciences, 6(1), 30.
Manandhar, S., Pratoomchai, W., Ono, K., Kazama, S., & Komori, D. (2015). Local people's perceptions of climate change and related hazards in mountainous areas of northern Thailand. International Journal of Disaster Risk Reduction, 11, 47-59.
Maponya, Ph., & Mpandeli, S. (2012). Climate change and agricultural production in South Africa: impacts and adaptation options. Journal of Agricultural Science, 4(10), 48-60.
Mertz, O., Mbow, C., Reenberg, A., & Diouf, A. (2009). Farmers’ perceptions of climate change and agricultural adaptation strategies in rural Sahel. Environmental Management, 43(5), 804-816.
Mumani, O. I. (2016). Climate Change Perceptions and Adaptive Water Management Strategies among Farmers in Kakamega County, Kenya.
Mumpower, J. L., Liu, X., & Vedlitz, A. (2016). Predictors of the Perceived Risk of Climate Change and Preferred Resource Levels for Climate Change Management Programs. Journal of Risk Research, 19(6), 798-809.
Ndamani, F., & Watanabe, T. (2016). Determinants of farmers’ adaptation to climate change: a micro level analysis in Ghana. Scientia Agricola, 73(3), 201-208.
O'brien, K. L., & Leichenko, R. M. (2000). Double Exposure: Assessing The Impacts Of Climate Change Within The Context Of Economic Globalization. Global Environmental Change, 10(3), 221-232.
Opiyo, F., Wasonga, O. V., Nyangito, M. M., Mureithi, S. M., Obando, J., & Munang, R. (2016). Determinants of Perceptions of Climate Change And Adaptation Among Turkana Pastoralists In Northwestern Kenya. Climate and Development, 8(2), 179-189.
Pangapanga, P. I., Jumbe, C. B., Kanyanda, S., & Thangalimodzi, L. (2012). Unravelling strategic choices towards droughts and floods' adaptation in Southern Malawi. International Journal of Disaster Risk Reduction, 2, 57-66.
Phuong, L. T. H., Biesbroek, G. R., Sen, L. T. H., & Wals, A. E. (2018). Understanding smallholder farmers' capacity to respond to climate change in a coastal community in Central Vietnam. Climate and Development, 10(8), 701-716.
Posthumus, H., Gardebroek, C., & Ruben, R. (2010). From participation to adoption: comparing the effectiveness of soil conservation programs in the Peruvian Andes. Land Economics, 86(4), 645-667.
Pourtaheri, M., Roknodin Eftekhari, A., Kazemi, N. (2016). Vulnerability level and degree of drought in rural areas, the farmer’s perspective. Human Geography Research, 48(1), 19-31. doi: 10.22059/jhgr.2016.51254. [In Persian].
Rasaian, M., Shams, A., Bayat.H., Razmi, H. & Hooshmandan Mogaddam Fard, Z. (2017). Communication and information componenets affecting on educational needs of fruit growers in Shazand Township, Iran. Journal of Agricultural Education Administration Research, 9(41), 53-67. doi: 10.22092/jaear.2017.108934.1337. [In Persian].
Sanogo, K., Binam, J., Bayala, J., Villamor, G. B., Kalinganire, A., & Dodiomon, S. (2017). Farmers’ perceptions of climate change impacts on ecosystem services delivery of parklands in Southern Mali. Agroforestry Systems, 91(2), 345-361.
Simelton, E., Quinn, C.H., Batisani, N., Dougill, A.J., Dyer, J.C., Fraser, E.D., Mkwambisi, D., Sallu, S. and Stringer, L.C. (2013). Is rainfall really changing? Farmers’ perceptions, meteorological data, and policy implications. Climate and Development, 5(2), 123-138.
Tavakoli, M., Dehghani, K. & Zarei, R.(2011). An analysis of the amount of social capital in rural areas of Mamasani (Case Study: Doshman Ziari). Regional Planning Quarterly, 4(1), 41-51. [In Persian].
Thi Lan Huong, N., Thi Lan Huong, N., Shun Bo, Y., Shun Bo, Y., Fahad, S., & Fahad, S. (2017). Farmers’ perception, awareness and adaptation to climate change: evidence from Northwest Vietnam. International Journal of Climate Change Strategies and Management, 9(4), 555-576.
Uddin, M. N., Bokelmann, W., & Dunn, E. S. (2017). Determinants of farmers’ perception of climate change: a case study from the coastal region of Bangladesh. American Journal of Climate Change, 6(01), 151.
Ullah, R., Shivakoti, G. P., & Ali, G. (2015). Factors effecting farmers’ risk attitude and risk perceptions: the case of Khyber Pakhtunkhwa, Pakistan. International Journal of Disaster Risk Reduction, 13, 151-157.
Van Wesenbeeck, C. F., Sonneveld, B. G., & Voortman, R. L. (2016). Localization and characterization of populations vulnerable to climate change: two case studies in Sub-Saharan Africa. Applied Geography, 66, 81-91.
Yu, H., Wang, B., Zhang, Y. J., Wang, S., & Wei, Y. M. (2013). Public perception of climate change in china: results from the questionnaire survey. Natural Hazards, 69(1), 459-472 | ||
آمار تعداد مشاهده مقاله: 506 تعداد دریافت فایل اصل مقاله: 921 |