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اثر جهانی شدن اقتصادی بر رشد اقتصادی: با تأکید بر جنبه عملیاتی و قانونی شاخص جهانی شدن KOF | ||
| پژوهشهای رشد و توسعه اقتصادی | ||
| مقاله 1، دوره 14، شماره 53، دی 1402، صفحه 30-13 اصل مقاله (801.8 K) | ||
| نوع مقاله: پژوهشی | ||
| شناسه دیجیتال (DOI): 10.30473/egdr.2023.65879.6615 | ||
| نویسندگان | ||
| داود علیرضازاده صدقیانی1؛ صمد حکمتی فرید* 2؛ کیومرث شهبازی3؛ سید جمال الدین محسنی زنوزی2 | ||
| 1دانشجوی دکتری اقتصاد، دانشکده اقتصاد، دانشگاه ارومیه، ارومیه، ایران. | ||
| 2دانشیار گروه اقتصاد، دانشکده اقتصاد، دانشگاه ارومیه، ارومیه، ایران. | ||
| 3استاد گروه اقتصاد، دانشکده اقتصاد، دانشگاه ارومیه، ارومیه، ایران. | ||
| چکیده | ||
| جهانی شدن دارای جنبههای مختلفی از جمله اقتصادی، فرهنگی و سیاسی است، به نحوی که هر یک از این جنبهها میتواند اثرات متفاوتی را در کشورهای در حال توسعه و توسعه یافته داشته باشد و از سویی در مطالعات تجربی و نظری نیز نشان داده شده است که اثر جهانی شدن بر رشد اقتصادی در طی زمان میتواند متغیر باشد، لذا در مطالعه حاضر با استفاده از الگوی دادههای تابلویی ناپارامتریک زمان متغیر (براساس روش متغیر مجازی خطی محلی) و با به کارگیری سه جنبه متفاوت جهانی شدن اقتصادی، فرهنگی و سیاسی شاخص KOF و با لحاظ اثرات عملیاتی و قانونی شاخص مذکور به بررسی اثرات مختلف جهانی شدن در طی زمان بر تولید ناخالص داخلی سرانه کشورهای با درآمد سرانه بالا (28 کشور) و درآمد سرانه متوسط (36 کشور) پرداخته شده است. نتایج حاصل از برآورد الگوی مورد استفاده در تحقیق حاضر نشان داد که با تقسیم جهانی شدن به دو جنبه قانونی (قوانین تجارت، تعرفههای گمرکی، مالیات بر تجارت، محدودیتهای تجاری و ...) و عملیاتی (مقدار تجارت در کالا، مقدار تجارت خدمات، سرمایهگذاری خارجی و ...) در کشورهای با درآمد سرانه بالا، جهانی شدن اقتصادی چه از جنبه اقتصادی و چه از جنبه عملیاتی به طور متوسط طی دوره 1980 الی 2019 موجب رشد اقتصادی شده است و در کشورهای با درآمد سرانه متوسط نیز جهانی شدن اقتصادی از جنبه قانونی تقریباً تأثیر مثبتی بر رشد اقتصادی کشورهای با درآمد سرانه متوسط داشته است، اما جهانی شدن اقتصادی از جنبه عملیاتی در بیشتر سالهای مورد بررسی تأثیر منفی بر رشد اقتصادی این نوع کشورها داشته است. | ||
| کلیدواژهها | ||
| جهانی شدن اقتصادی؛ شاخص KOF؛ ضرایب زمان متغیر؛ ناپارامتریک | ||
| عنوان مقاله [English] | ||
| The Effect of Globalization on Economic Growth with a Time-Varying Non-Parametric Approach: with an Emphasis on the Defacto and Dejure Aspects of the KOF Globalization Index | ||
| نویسندگان [English] | ||
| Davod Alirezazadeh Sadaghiani1؛ Samad Hekmati Farid2؛ Kiumars Shahbazi3؛ Seyed Jamaledin Mohseni Zonozi2 | ||
| 1Ph.D. Student in Economics, Faculty Economics, Urmia University, Urmia, Iran. | ||
| 2Associate Professor, Faculty of Economics, Urmia University, Urmia, Iran. | ||
| 3Professor, Faculty of Economics, Urmia University, Urmia, Iran. | ||
| چکیده [English] | ||
| Globalization is an undeniable phenomenon in the current era and different theories of globalization-economic growth show that there is no theoretical agreement in this regard and there are many supporters and oppositions in this field. Considering that, firstly, globalization has different aspects including economic, cultural and political. Second, the effects of globalization are different in developing and developed countries and thirdly, according to the theoretical point of view, the effect of globalization on economic growth varies over time. Therefore, in the present study, using the time-varying non-parametric panel data model and applying three different aspects of economic, cultural and political globalization KOF index, we consider the de facto and de jure effects of the mentioned index. It has been investigated the different effects of globalization over time on the GDP per capita of countries with high per capita income (28 countries) and middle per capita income (36 countries). The results of estimating the model used in this research based on the local linear dummy variable method for time-varying non-parametric panel data showed that except for the first few years in the period from 1980 to 2019, the economic globalization index has increased the per capita income of countries with high per capita income. However, the index of economic globalization in countries with middle per capita income had a positive effect on per capita income only in the years 1996 to 2008, and had a negative effect on it in the rest of the years. Also by dividing globalization into de facto and de jure aspects determined both de facto and de jure aspects of economic globalization during the period from 1980 to 2019 on average have led to economic growth in countries with high per capita income. But de jure aspects of economic globalization almost had a positive effect on the economic growth of countries with middle per capita income especially after 1995 to 2019 and economic globalization has a negative effect on the economic growth of these types of countries from a de facto aspect in most of the investigated years. | ||
| کلیدواژهها [English] | ||
| Economic Globalization, KOF Index, Non-Parametric, Time-Varying Coefficients | ||
| مراجع | ||
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