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سنجش اثر تولید صنعت ورزش بر رشد اقتصادی استانهای ایران به روش GMM | ||
فصلنامه علمی پژوهشهای کاربردی در مدیریت ورزشی | ||
مقاله 8، دوره 13، 4 (بهار 1404) - شماره پیاپی 52، فروردین 1404، صفحه 123-138 اصل مقاله (1.8 M) | ||
نوع مقاله: مقاله پژوهشی | ||
شناسه دیجیتال (DOI): 10.30473/arsm.2025.68937.3798 | ||
نویسندگان | ||
مرضیه اسعدی* 1؛ حسن دلیری2 | ||
1استادیار، گروه مدیریت و اقتصاد، دانشگاه گلستان، گرگان، ایران. | ||
2دانشیار، گروه مدیریت و اقتصاد، دانشگاه گلستان، گرگان، ایران. | ||
چکیده | ||
یکی از مهمترین اهداف توسعه منطقهای، تخصیص بهینه منابع محـدود سرمایه فیزیکی و انسانی در جهت دستیابی به رشد اقتصادی است. صنعت ورزش بهعنوان یک صنعت نوپدید شامل کلیه فعالیتهای مرتبط با تولید و توزیع محصولات ورزشی است که در بازار قیمتگذاری میشود. هدف اصلی این پژوهش برآورد سهم تولید ناخالص داخلی ورزش (GDSP) در رشد اقتصادی استانهای ایران در دوره 1390-1400 است. به این منظور پس از محاسبه GDSP به تفکیک استانهای ایران، این متغیر بهعنوان یک نهاده در تابع تولید کاب-داگلاس به دو عامل دیگر تولید شامل نیروی کار و سرمایه افزوده شد. همچنین امکان تعامل بین دو نهاده اصلی تولید یعنی نیروی انسانی و سرمایه با تولید ناخالص ورزش نیز در مدل برآورد شده لحاظ شد. روش مدلسازی مبتنی بردادههای تابلویی، شامل دو روش مدل رگرسیون با اثرات تصادفی و مدل رگرسیون پویا با برآوردگر GMM است. نتایج برآوردها شواهد آماری مبنی بر اثرات مثبت تولید ناخالص ورزش بر رشد اقتصادی ارائه میدهد. 1) اثر تولید ناخالص ورزش بر رشد اقتصادی مثبت و معناداراست بطوریکه هر یک درصد افزایش در GDSP به قیمت واقعی تا 17/0درصد رشد اقتصادی به قیمت واقعی را افزایش داده است. 2) آثار تعاملی دو نهاده نیروی کار و سرمایه با GDSP اگرچه کوچک بوده، بهترتیب به میزان 05/0 و 07/0 درصد، اما مثبت و معنادار بوده و رشد اقتصادی را افزایش داده است. مهمترین رهیافت این پژوهش ضرورت برنامهریزی در جهت گسترش سرمایهگذاری در زیرساختها و فعالیتهای ورزشی با هدف بهرهبرداری از ظرفیت این صنعت در رشد اقتصادی استانهای ایران است. | ||
کلیدواژهها | ||
تولید ناخالص داخلی ورزش (GDSP)؛ رشداقتصادی؛ مدل دادههای تابلویی؛ برآوردگر GMM | ||
عنوان مقاله [English] | ||
Measuring the Effect of Sports Industry Production on Iranian Provinces Economic Growth Using GMM Method | ||
نویسندگان [English] | ||
Marzieh Asaadi1؛ Hasan Daliri2 | ||
1Assistant Professor, Department of Management and Economics, Golestan University, Gorgan, Iran. | ||
2Associate Professor, Department of Management and Economics, Golestan University, Gorgan, Iran. | ||
چکیده [English] | ||
One of the most important goals of regional development is the optimal allocation of limited physical and human capital resources to achieve economic growth. The sports industry, as an emerging industry, encompasses all activities related to the production and distribution of sports products that are priced in the market. The main objective of this research is to estimate the contribution of Gross Domestic Sports Product (GDSP) to the economic growth of Iran's provinces during the period 2011-2021. To this end, after calculating GDSP separately for each province of Iran, this variable was added as an input to the Cobb-Douglas production function alongside the two other factors of production: labor and capital. Additionally, the potential interaction between the two main inputs of production—human resources and capital—with Gross Sports Production was also considered in the estimated model. The modeling approach is based on panel data and includes two methods: a random-effects regression model and a dynamic regression model estimated using the GMM estimator. The estimation results provide statistical evidence of the positive effects of Gross Sports Production on economic growth: 1) The effect of Gross Sports Production on economic growth is positive and significant, such that every one percent increase in real GDSP has increased real economic growth by up to 0.17 percent. 2) The interactive effects of labor and capital inputs with GDSP, although small, were positive and significant, increasing economic growth by 0.05 and 0.07 percent, respectively. The most important implication of this research is the necessity of planning to expand investment in sports infrastructure and activities with the aim of leveraging the potential of this industry for the economic growth of Iran's provinces. | ||
کلیدواژهها [English] | ||
Gross Domestic Sports Product (GDSP), Economic Growth, Panel Data Modelling, GMM Estimator | ||
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